Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.218306 1.484057 1.821963 2.295016 2.960807 3.899519 5.395035
2025-02-16 0.834472 1.111609 1.515757 2.186391 3.362818 5.573360 10.873789
2025-02-23 0.672902 0.951226 1.397386 2.238205 4.009647 8.398614 25.749731
2025-03-02 0.580673 0.858875 1.339242 2.346168 4.854811 13.186398 81.356168
2025-03-09 0.504753 0.770804 1.255495 2.356874 5.505429 19.317176 356.751569
2025-03-16 0.438077 0.683408 1.146931 2.261820 5.795003 25.459317 3232.926678
2025-03-23 0.403762 0.646510 1.126347 2.367845 6.897199 43.779734 NaN
2025-03-30 0.369380 0.603006 1.080789 2.389296 7.756867 71.982485 NaN
2025-04-06 0.335633 0.555346 1.015571 2.328868 8.219543 108.577084 NaN
2025-04-13 0.308364 0.516573 0.962485 2.285354 8.767438 177.498759 NaN
2025-04-20 0.297892 0.509846 0.981800 2.483695 11.211534 761.464558 NaN
2025-04-27 0.284342 0.494746 0.977685 2.603938 13.574643 8693.974049 NaN
2025-05-04 0.265796 0.467331 0.938977 2.587153 14.928053 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.246158 0.435548 0.884043 2.487668 15.332729 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.234777 0.420526 0.870652 2.555029 18.091352 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.226482 0.411323 0.871192 2.686280 22.717008 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.215409 0.394606 0.847877 2.699399 25.845964 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.201938 0.371140 0.801837 2.584575 26.019306 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.196025 0.364585 0.803657 2.712711 33.326188 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.188069 0.352454 0.787048 2.738692 38.817260 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.178583 0.335893 0.754756 2.665555 40.662576 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.170317 0.321631 0.727714 2.612982 43.412947 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.168471 0.322662 0.748188 2.853242 66.844568 NaN NaN